A.J. Brown
WR · 
Patriots · Mississippi · 2019 round 2, pick 51
Patriots · Mississippi · 2019 round 2, pick 512026 PPR
5.6
5.60 per game over 1
2026 projection
27.2
WR128 · overall 390
Red zone touches
0
0 touchdowns
Snap share
44.0%
offensive snaps
2026 production
Receptions3 of 4
Receiving yards26
Receiving TDs0
Target share12.9%
Red zone role
Targets inside the 200
Carries inside the 200
Touchdowns0
NE red zone TD rate50.0%
NE pass rate inside 20100.0%
Red zone volume is the part of a scoring role that carries between seasons; touchdowns themselves are far noisier than the usage that produced them.
Projection in all three formats
Formats are not rescalings of one another. Dropping the point per reception reorders the board, because a possession receiver’s value is mostly catches and a runner’s is mostly yards.
| Format | Proj | Per game | VOR | Overall | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full PPR | 27.2 | 8.65 | -66.5 | 390 | WR128 |
| Half PPR | 22.4 | 7.11 | -54.9 | 385 | WR130 |
| Standard | 17.5 | 5.57 | -43.3 | 382 | WR138 |
2026 PPR per game5.60
Weight on his own rate0.74
Age factor×0.87
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